Biden today has exactly the same “favorable/unfavorable” ratings as Trump. Unless, of course, their rivals are carrying the same baggage.

Ultimately, such candidates do not win elections. Approaching the Democrat convention in 2016, polls garnered headlines by revealing that Hillary was viewed as untrustworthy by a majority of voters. Just like Hillary Clinton in 2016, Trump’s “unfavorables,” currently at 55 percent, could undermine his chances. Remember that in 2020, Trump never led Biden in the polling.ĭoes Trump carry huge baggage? Absolutely. Curiously, that is not what the polls say the Real Clear Politics average of surveys about a hypothetical match-up actually shows Trump up by 2 points. They are convinced the former president cannot win in the general election. Instead, Biden and his colleagues want Trump to be the GOP nominee in 2024 and to go down in flames. The president’s dismal approval ratings on every major issue - the economy, foreign policy, immigration, crime - show he cannot do that and win, and they know it. What Democrats fear most is that Biden will have to defend his record (and his age) to Americans.

Odds to win the 2024 election